Julia Gillard and Kevin Rudd are the only contenders.
Rudd was PM from 2007 to 2010, but when Julia announced in June 2010 she would contest the leadership Rudd stepped down knowing he would lose. The Labour caucus were concerned that Rudd couldn’t lead the Party to win the next election. The 2010 federal election saw the first hung parliament since the 1940 federal election. With the support of an Australian Greens Member of Parliament (MP) and three independent MPs the Gillard Labor Partywas able to form a minority government and defeat the Liberal/National Coalition opposition led by Tony Abbott. Julia became the first female PM of Australia but she does not enjoy public popularity. “Kevin ’07″ was our most popular PM and his win was coined a “ruddslide” by the media. Right now, opinion polls show he is more popular with the public by a huge margin BUT this is a caucus vote and apparently the majority of them don’t like Rudd. How will the Caucus vote? … for Julia’s style of leadership … or Rudd’s public popularity, which could help Labour win the next election this year.
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There are two ways of delineating this chart so I will look at both. First of all, this is a contest between two contenders. I can assign the 1st house to Julia – for she is the one I have asked the queston about – and I then assign Kevin to the 7th house, her opponent. Julia is the Sun in Pisces in the 7th house and Kevin is Saturn in the 3rd house. On angularity alone Julia has it won, even though she is in Kevin’s house. Saturn is also retrograde and moving backwards in a cadent house that gives him no power. Julia is stronger.
The second method is to assign Julia the MC and Kevin the 4th. Julia is Mercury in Pisces in the 7th and Kevin is Jupiter in Taurus in the 9th. Again, Julia is angular but also in detriment and unaspected. Jupiter is peregrine and in a cadent house. Neither is terribly strong but I believe Julia is marginally ahead.
I believe it will be close but Julia will win … by a nose !